Intro to the course


Slides here

Class activity

We’re looking at this piece by Ryan E. Carlin, Gregory J. Love, and Elizabeth J. Zechmeister, “Natural Disaster and Democratic Legitimacy: The Public Opinion Consequences of Chile’s 2010 Earthquake and Tsunami,” Political Research Quarterly 67, no. 1 (2014): 3–15..

In groups, think about the following:

  1. What is the causal claim the authors are trying to test?
  2. What exactly is the argument as to why earthquakes decrease support for democracy?
  3. Are all people in Chile equally likely to be affected by earthquake/Tsunami? Who is likely to be more/less affected?
  4. What kinds of confounding variables1 should we be worried about here?
  5. Support for local government is measured on a 0 (no support) to 1 (full support) scale. How would you interpret the coefficient on page 10?

  1. Remember a confounding variable is a variable that causes both our X and Y variable, like years married in the affairs example from class.↩︎